Understanding Trump’s Mideast Maneuverings

Update 22 October: The secret strategy and goals behind Trump’s Kurdish maneuverings

By declaring a pullout from Kurdish East Syria and allowing Turkey to establish a border buffer zone, Donald has succeeded in coercing the Kurds into ceding the oil fields in their territory to the control of major American oil companies. 

The US administration has made a deal with the Kurds for the American petroleum establishment [think Pompeo as a facilitator] to take over the oil fields in eastern Syria and modernize them at US taxpayer expense via foreign aid. The US oil companies and the Kurds will then share the proceeds with Trump’s establishment buddies taking the lion’s share.

Speaking at a cabinet meeting Monday, Trump said a “small number” of US troops is staying behind to secure the oil fields.

I always said if you’re going in, keep the oil,” Trump said, suggesting that the US would “maybe get one of our big oil companies in to do it properly.” He said the US military is still in Syria and has “secured the oil,” a reference to oil fields that the US hopes to keep from falling into the hands of jihadist fighters.

US Defense Secretary Mark Esper said earlier that “We have troops in towns in northeast Syria that are located next to the oil fields. The troops in those towns are not in the present phase of withdrawal.”

After receiving the briefing Lindsey Graham and other opponents of the Kurdish withdrawal have changed their minds and the political threat to Trump has greatly diminished.

At the same time the Trump administration deal with Turkey to establish a buffer zone with the Kurds seems to be part of a deal to win the future help of Turkish backed militias in taking down the Assad regime and achieving the Trump peace plan concerning Israel.

Now after months of European refusal to join an international force patrolling a safe zone between Turkey and Syria, Europe is changing its mind and efforts are underway to deploy European troops to replace a temporary deployment of Russian military police to keep the peace between the Turks and Kurds east of the Euphrates. Turkey’s President Erdogan is meeting with the Russian President in Sochi today and will visit Washington to hold talks with Trump on Nov 15.

Israel has been waiting for the Syrian Idlib operation to begin in earnest to invade Gaza but plans may need to be adjusted because of international events and internal political considerations. Monday evening Netanyahu returned his mandate to form a government to the president of Israel who must now decide the way forward.

Meanwhile the biannual Juniper Cobra missile defense exercise will bring a large deployment of US forces to Israel and Europe beginning in February, which may be a cloak for the buildup of anti missile defenses for regional war. 

Once Israel demolishes Hezbollah and the Syrian military, the Turkish backed militias will be ready to help overthrow the Assad regime in the north while the US backed militias rise up in the south.

The new regime in Syria will be dominated by Turkey through the Syrian militias she backs, and a peace deal can be made between Turkey, Syria and the Kurds [with the Kurds feeling threatened because the US will take the oil and no longer protect them otherwise], and the Trump Israel peace deal could also go ahead.

 

Update 17 October

Turkey agrees to five day ceasefire to allow the Kurds to withdraw 20 miles from the Turkish border within five days and the US agrees to withdraw its sanctions on Turkey. 

The phone lines between Washington, Moscow, Ankara, Damascus and Jerusalem have been singing for several weeks and this whole situation has the look of a pre-planned process:  

  1. The US redeploys from Kurdistan to the Iraqi border and positions itself to block the route from Iran to Syria for the coming general Middle East war,
  2. Turkey gets a buffer zone on the Kurdish border and security from the incessant Kurdish terrorist attacks carried out by the PKK and YPG, 
  3. It is agreed that negotiations will begin between Turkey and the Kurds towards a permanent end to the conflict,
  4. Syria recovers most of its oil rich Kurdish region, and
  5. The US trained and equipped Free Syrian Army [which is mostly Arab] will be integrated in the Syria army’s 5th Corps, which is the main joint Russia-Syria fighting unit,
  6. Now preparing to invade Idlib province and destroy the central Asian terrorists based there,
  7. All is ready for Israel to launch its war,
  8. After which Turkish backed forces will be free to attack the Assad regime once its strength has been demolished by Israel.

Turkey, and Syria Gain Control of the Kurds

After Turkey has already achieved its initial goals  US President Donald Trump on Monday urged his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan to “stop the invasion” of Syria.

Trump pressed the Turkish leader in a telephone call to “stop the invasion, to enact an immediate ceasefire and to begin negotiations with Kurdish forces in Syria,” vice president Pence told reporters, adding that he would be traveling urgently to Turkey at the president’s request.

“He directed me to lead a delegation. I will be leaving as quickly as possible to travel into the region to pursue a ceasefire and negotiated settlement,” Pence said.

To pressure Turkey and back up the Pence mission Trump has instructed the Treasury to prepare to impose sanctions on Turkey’s defense, interior and energy ministers, freezing their US assets and making US transactions with them a crime.

Trump also threatened to end talks on a US-Turkey trade deal valued at $100 billion and, in perhaps the most biting reprisal, reimposing tariffs of 50 percent on Turkish steel. Trump is also asking NATO to prepare its own sanctions on Turkey if Turkey will not stop.

The US secretary of state held talks with his Russian counterpart this evening, as did the two defense chiefs after which Turkish President Recep Erdogan held phone conversations with both US President Donald Trump and Russia’s Vladimir Putin. 

Putin invited Erdogan to visit Moscow before the end of October, while Trump invited him to Washington on Nov 15 and informed him that Vice President Mike Pence and Secretary Mike Pompeo would be arriving in Ankara on Thursday. They will be accompanied by US national security adviser Robert O’Brien and special Syrian envoy James Jeffrey. After the talks in Ankara Pence will visit Israel to confer with leaders there.

Since Turkey has already been allowed by the US to achieve its original intended goals of cutting the M4 highway and demolishing terrorist PKK infrastructure on the border; and the Syrian army is now in place inside Kurdistan ostensibly to defend them from Turkey but really to secure the Syrian side of the border and stop the Kurdish terrorist attacks on Turkey: there is little reason for them to continue the operation and the moves by Trump appear to be political grandstanding.

The Turkish advance on the Syrian border into Kurdistan has been paused ahead of US VP Pence’s visit.  Pence is to demand an end of the operation, but will in all likelihood discuss the entire situation in Syria with Erdogan.

US VP Mike Pence and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will leave for Turkey tomorrow; meanwhile the Russian Defense Ministry reported that Russian military police have been mobilized and deployed as peacekeepers between the Syrian and Turkish forces in Manbij.

President Trump has ordered all 2500 troops to leave northern Syria [they are being replaced by Syrian troops].  The 1,000 US troops, 1,000 US paid mercenaries and five hundred British and French troops are to leave within 30 days.

The withdrawal of the foreign troops and the quick success of the Turks in achieving the goals of their border operation have terrified the Kurds into thinking that Turkey may not stop at their original goals and could advance further into Kurdish controlled areas. This has caused the Kurdish leaders to give up their plans for an independent state and rush back into the arms of Syria.

Syrian troops are now moving into major Kurdish cities near the Turkish border and it is expected that the American trained and equipped Free Syrian Army will begin to work with the Syrian army, and that Kurdish troops may well help Syria in the looming Idlib anti-terror operation.

This strategic US withdrawal is stretching the limited Syrian resources almost to the breaking point as they move into Kurdistan and in any real fight against Turkey Syria already does not stand a chance.

Watch for an Israel operation in Gaza and against Hezbollah and Syria in the coming months as the Idlib operation gains momentum. That conflict will demolish the Gaza militias and Hezbollah as well as devastate the Syrian army, allowing the Turkish backed militias in the north and the US backed militias in the south to overthrow the Assad regime.  From there the future of the Kurds and other regions of Syria will be decided.  

Turkey which is the biblical Edom is prophesied to be the dominant nation in a consortium of Turkey, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, the Arab States, the Palestinians and the native Gazans, allied with Germany and the New Federal Europe.  This group will not include Egypt.

Psalm 83

A prophecy of the latter days when the nations of Europe, Turkey, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon and the Arab States will confederate against the nations of Judah and Israel.  

Psalm 83:1 Keep not thou silence, O God: hold not thy peace, and be not still, O God.

83:2 For, lo, thine enemies make a tumult: and they that hate thee have lifted up the head. 83:3 They have taken crafty counsel against thy people, and consulted against thy hidden [protected] ones.

83:4 They have said, Come, and let us cut them off from being a nation; that the name of Israel may be no more in remembrance83:5 For they have consulted together with one consent: they are confederate against thee:

83:6 The tabernacles of Edom [Turkey], and the Ishmaelites [true Arabs, sons of Ishmael; sons of Abraham and Agar]; of Moab [Jordan today], and the Hagarenes [Arabs who are sons of Agar [Hagar] by another than Abraham, and also not the sons of Ishmael];

83:7 Geba [Lebanon], and Ammon [Jordan today], and Amalek [a tribe of the Turks]; the Philistines [Gaza] with the inhabitants of Tyre [Lebanon];

83:8 Assur [Germany, Austria, Hungary] also is joined with them: they have holpen the children of Lot [the New Europe will help modern Jordan; Ammon and Moab].

Selah.

For more see  The Tribulation of the Judaeo Anglo American People

 

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