U.S. President Donald Trump wants to destroy the nuclear agreement with Iran and has threatened Germany, Britain and France with a 25% tariff on their car exports to the U.S. unless they end their role in the JCPOA deal.
On 14 Jan they triggered the Dispute Resolution Mechanism of the deal. The mechanism foresees two 15 day periods of negotiations and a five day decision period after which any of the involved countries can escalate the issues to the UN Security Council.
The reference to the UNSC would then lead to an automatic reactivation or “snapback” of those UN sanction against Iran that existed before the nuclear deal was signed.
At that time Iran could scrap the treaty completely triggering even more action from Trump. Iran is also threatening to quit the global nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) A crisis with Iran would arise if Iran elects to leave the treaty after 18 Feb.
20 Jan 09:30 PST: As the Gaza situation again heats up Iron Dome anti-rocket batteries are being deployed around the Gaza Strip and in the densely populated areas of central Israel.
TheShiningLight- Three programs of about 20 minutes each have been recorded and will begin airing on Friday’s, beginning this week. The programs “From Sinai to Solomon,” “From Solomon to Assyria” and “From Hezekiah to Babylon” are general overviews of the history of Israel/Judah full of facts which most brethren may be unaware. They have been timed to commence alongside a study through the books of Kings and Chronicles which will also begin this Friday.
Note: I have disabled the YouTube CC because of the quality of mechanical captions. This should not be a problem since I am posting transcriptions anyway.
The programs will provide a solid background to understand today’s Middle East problems, subsequent programs will study the rebuilding of the temple and city and the history up to the ministry of Christ, they will then turn to the Passover and the Gospel of Salvation as taught by Jesus Christ.
The programs are not the; take an hour to say what could be said in five minutes format. They contain so much material that I would strongly recommend listening first and then waiting a day or more and then reading the transcript to get the most out of the material.
I am following a methodical schedule of first building Bible studies through every Word of God at the site and now each new program will build on the preceding program, therefore it would be advantageous to hear each program in the proper order.
02:15 PST: In response to the Israeli failure to implement the ceasefire agreement Hamas appears to have resumed launching incendiary balloons. Five balloons detonated in southern Israel yesterday and Israel has been shelling Hamas in reply.
19 Jan 06:30 PST: Many world diplomats and leaders will attend the Jerusalem Holocaust Forum starting Thursday, with World Holocaust Memorial Day on Monday 27 Jan. PM Netanyahu will try to use the occasion to leverage international support against Iran. This year’s memorial of the horrific events of WW 2 may help set public opinion in support of the looming Middle East war. See our FaceBook site for a list of world leaders attending the Jerusalem Memorial.
Israel shells Gaza after balloon explodes near the strip.
18 Jan: A Blessed Sabbath for All God’s Faithful! Special Music “You Raise Me Up.” English song introduced in Korean. Use full screen to fully appreciate the beautiful accompanying dance.
17 Jan 03:00 PST: Berlin Peace Summit- Officials from Russia, Turkey, France, China, the United Arab Emirates and the United Kingdom – as well as several African and Arab countries meet in Berlin this weekend to discuss a solution to the Libya situation.
16 Jan 17:30 PST: French President Emmanuel Macron has announced that the country’s Charles De Gaulle aircraft carrier strike group will be deployed to the Middle East between January and April 2020. Ships from Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands, Spain, Portugal, and Greece will also participate in the deployment which will begin in the coming days.
Battle over Netanyahu immunity from criminal charges should be decided next week.
Israel attacked sites in Gaza this evening after two incendiary balloons fall in the south.
Hamas warns Israel that they have lost patience with Israeli foot dragging on easing the siege of the strip.
10:00 PST: The 3,000 US troops assigned to NATO’s biannual “Cold Response” March exercise in Norway will not take part due to “enhanced American engagement in the Middle East.” The force, mainly Marines, are to be rushed to the Middle East instead.
05:30 PST- Ahead of an imminent offensive in Aleppo, the Syrian Arab Army’s 4th Armored Division has begun a massive artillery attack targeting southwestern and western Aleppo.
02:15 PST: Israeli Elections- 30 political parties and factions have registered for the March 2 election. Polls indicate that if there are no security issues and the election goes ahead it will be another virtual tie and deadlock in forming a governing coalition.
In February the US is deploying thousands of troops to Europe and Israel for the biannual Juniper Cobra Israel air defense exercise in March and an exercise in Europe.
An Israeli war with Gaza and Hezbollah could begin at any time this year. See our program analyzing the situation at TheShiningLight programs page.
Gaza- Three incendiary balloons entered Israel this morning as the Gaza front begins to warm up again.
Idlib Offensive Resumes- Led by the 5th Corps and 25th Special Mission Forces Division (formerly Tiger Forces), the Syrian Army liberated the important city of Abu Jarif, which is located southeast of Ma’arat Al-Nu’man last night. Tal Khatrah, Nawhiyah Sharqiyah, and Nawhiyah Gharbiyah were also liberates from the Jihadists of Hay’at Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS) and Turkish-backed militants which withdrew to Tal Karsiyan in southeastern Idlib.
15 Jan 13:30 PST: The IDF has bombed several sites in Gaza.
10:15 PST: Israel and the US have been waiting for Syria to take out the terrorists based in Idlib before launching a general regional war.
In addition airstrikes in the Al-Ghaab Plain region that is located inside both southwestern Idlib and northwestern Hama. Reinforcement are also continuing to pour into the Aleppo and Idlib fronts the Syrian Army has positioned their heavy weapons to the Al-Hamdaniyah Stadium in southwest Aleppo, along with several areas around Al-Zahra’a and New Aleppo.
07:45- PST: Four mortar shells fired at Israel from Gaza today.
Russian PM Medvedev resigns. President Vladimir Putin said following the resignation of Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev that the government must continue to fulfill its obligations in a caretaker capacity until a new government is formed.
The government is resigning to give President Vladimir Putin an opportunity to make changes to the constitution. Putin is proposing a nationwide vote on sweeping changes to the constitution.
14 Jan 14:45 PST: Under intense pressure House Speaker Nancy Pelosi agrees to send the articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump to the Senate on Wednesday for a trial to begin Jan 21.
Israel attacks Syrian Iranian air base.
05:30 PST: Erdogan threatens to attack Syria over refugees from Idlib which are entering Turkey. For years TheShiningLight has been warning that Turkish backed militias could play a key role in overwhelming Syria as the Idlib operation matures. Regardless of what happens to Erdogan personally, Turkey will rise to a dominant position in the region as per Psalm 83.
01:15 PST: Trump to label political opponents as Iran sympathizers.
13 Jan 14:00 PST: King Abdullah II of Jordan is scheduled to engage in talks in Brussels, Strasbourg and Paris later this week. The flow of terrorists fleeing Idlib through Turkey into Libya will be among the main topics of discussion with the European leaders.
11:00 PST: Our first audio program has been posted. The speaking could benefit from more practice but I wanted to get this up quickly because of the developing situation. I have been warning of these things in print for over 12 years in great detail, and this program is a short overview of the warnings and the reasoning behind them.
06:00 PST: Israeli left wing political parties unite for elections. They should receive several seats and could join in a governing coalition with the centrist Blue and White after the election. Labor plus Gesher have linked up with far-left Meretz to run on a joint list for Knesset in the March election. Top of the list are Labor leader Amir Peretz followed by Gesher leader Orly Abkasis-Levi, with Meretz leader Horowitz in third place; Tamar Zandberg (Meretz) comes next and Itzik Shmuli (Labor) places 5th.
01:00 PST: Iran warned of its rocket strike well in advance.
12 Jan 07:00 PST: In a devastating blow to Netanyahu the Knesset legal adviser has given the go ahead for the Knesset to immediately form a committee to rule on Bibi’s request for immunity. Given that rejection of immunity is expected, Likud has petitioned the High Court and a ruling is expected by the end of the week.
Syria- Friday Syria opened three safe corridors for the evacuation of civilians from areas near Aleppo and western Idlib province. Early today Syrian Air Force helicopters began leafleting civilians encouraging them to leave Aleppo and western Idlib through the three crossings ahead of a decisive offensive by the Syrian Armed Forces and Russian military.
03:00 PST: President Trump out maneuvers congress on Iran war by gaining a commitment from the Saudi’s to pay American expenses for the conflict. Congress can no longer cut off funds for the war.
The UK ambassador was briefly arrested after he was caught leading an anti government demonstration in Iran. Western countries are trying to use the recent downing of an airliner to spark anti government demonstrations in Iran.
11 Jan: A Blessed Sabbath for All God’s Faithful!
A senior Iranian IRGC commander has announced that Iran did indeed shoot down the Ukraine airliner after mistaking it for an incoming cruise missile after it strayed over a military base. While the western world should have waited for a proper investigation the admission shows that they were on the right track after all.
10 Jan 15:00 PST: Iran- Iran gives the black box flight recorders to Ukraine.
10:30 PST: Iran- Unverified Footage has been released of a missile streaking upward and then exploding in the night, with a claim that this was a missile hitting the Ukraine airliner near Tehran. The claim that a few lights in the darkness prove the time and place is simply not credible, the footage could have been taken anywhere and at anytime over the past several years.
The comments that Iran is bulldozing the debris are absolutely false, they only used a wheeled front loader to remove the larger parts of the aircraft to covered shelters for preservation and examination as is common practice in such investigations.
04:45 PST: Iraq- Iraq calls on Washington to send a delegation to set up a process for US withdrawal from Iraq as soon as possible.
03:30 PST: Idlib- A Russian Turkish brokered ceasefire has been called, so far fighting continues. After being soundly defeated in Southeast Idlib many less committed terrorists are either fleeing or joining the Turkish backed militias and coming under the control of Turkey, leaving the al Nusrah Front [aka al Qaeda] in a seriously weakened position. Civilians are now fleeing Western Idlib.
02:30 PST: Mideast War- Israel bombs militia convoy moving munitions through Syria to Hezbollah, killing at least 8 and wounding many.
09 Jan 13:30 PST- Iran- Canada and the UK are following Donald Trump’s lead in accusing Iran of shooting down a Ukrainian airliner. Why the rush to judgment with no investigation? The “intelligence” appears to come from the anti-Iranian MEK terrorist organization known for its cooperation with U.S. intelligence services.
Photos from the crash site show shrapnel like impacts on the fuselage. The evidence is consistent with an uncontained turbine disc rupture but other potential causes can not be ruled out. Higher quality daylight pictures of the crashed Ukrainian plane show that at least some of the “shrapnel impact holes” are not holes at all but are debris or dirt lying on top of the aircraft pieces. Additional pictures also show no evidence of an externally induced event.
The Ukrainian Boeing plane had CFM 56 engines. These have in past years experienced uncontained failures. In April 2018 BBC reported:
A female passenger died after she was nearly sucked from the cabin of a Southwest Airlines flight travelling from New York to Dallas on Tuesday. An initial investigation found evidence of metal fatigue where a fan blade had broken off, according to the US National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB). Aother similar incident was recorded in 2016 involving a Southwest flight that landed safely in Florida.
The extremely premature accusations appear be an effort to protect Boeing which is reeling from the 737 MAX disaster and to feed the anti Iran propaganda machine.
Brexit- The UK Parliament on Thursday approved British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s Brexit bill, authorizing Britain’s withdrawal from the European Union (EU) on January 31, 2020 [330 to 231], and now goes to the House of Lords for approval.
USA- During a speech on the Senate floor on Thursday, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) declared that if the House will not send the articles of impeachment over, “the Senate will move forward next week” with other business and will assume “House Democrats are too embarrassed to ever move forward, and we will get back to the people’s business.”
The speech is intended to embarrass the House Democrats who are delaying in hopes of holding a Senate trial during the election campaign.
09:30 PST: Mideast War- The very accurate nature of the Iranian missiles is worrying for the US and Israel. The coming war will be costly.
05:00 PST: Syria to begin anti terrorist operations in Aleppo and central Idlib momentarily. Both the US/Israel and Iran/Syria are waiting on the destruction of the Nusrah Front [al Qaeda] terrorists from Central Asia before a larger Mideast war.
08 Jan 10:30 PST: Israel- Israel is being inundated with heavy flooding due to winter rain storms.
03:30 PST: Mideast War- The US ambassador to Israel says that he prays for an overwhelming victory over Iran. A major regional Mideast war is looming.
02:00 PST: Mideast War- Last night Iran fired 22 Qiam missiles towards two U.S. bases in Iraq. Between 1:45 and 2:15 local time (~22:00 UTC) seventeen missiles hit the Ain al Asad airbase west of Ramadi. Five missiles were aimed at Erbil airport in the northern Kurdish region of Iraq. There were no casualties.
The Swiss embassy in Tehran, which represents the U.S., was warned at least one hour before the attack happened. Around 0:00 UTC the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration issued a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM) which prohibited civil U.S. flights over Iraq, Iran, the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman.
One might ask, where were the vaunted US air defense missiles during Iran’s strike? Did the US allow this strike to satisfy Iranian honor and defuse the present situation? In any case the huge buildup for war continues and conflict can be expected as early as February or the spring.
Iran has now announced that last night’s strike was a “slap in the face” to inform the US that any further US attacks on Iranian assets will result in a real response. Hezbollah has announced that they will attack Israel if there are any more American strikes against Iranian assets in the region.
07 Jan 18:00 PST Breaking: Up to 13 Iranian missiles have been fired at US bases in Iraq. Iran is calling this its revenge attack and if the US does not retaliate the crisis will be defused at least temporarily.
06:00 PST: Hamas- Egypt livid after Hamas head breaks travel restrictions to visit Tehran, consult with new IRG head.
02:45 PST: Mideast War– America and her allied nations with Israel on one side, and Gaza, Lebanon and Iran on the other side, are making intensive preparations for regional war in the second half of February. The Islamic Republic celebrates the anniversary of the Revolution on Feb. 11 and conflict could break out around or soon after that time.
Today, US Air Force B-52 bombers were deployed to the Indian Ocean island-base at Diego Garcia for bombing Iran, while deployments of stealth warplanes, troops and ships are also beginning.
Ismail Haniyeh, political chief of Hamas is in Tehran consulting with the Iranian leadership. Iranian backed militias can muster 280,000 men under arms in the region including Hezbollah’s 65,000 fighters in Lebanon, and Hamas and Islamic Jihad with 20,000 and 8,000 armed men respectively in the Gaza Strip. Nearly two hundred thousand missiles are available to Iran, Hamas and Hezbollah. This week Iran began moving its missiles to their launch sites.
The US has denied an entry visa to Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, preventing him from attending a United Nations Security Council meeting scheduled for later this week, Reuters reported Tuesday.
Remember that TheShiningLight has been warning of this conflict and explaining its purpose and aftermath, which will include a genuine dialogue for peace, for the past 12 years.
06 Jan 10:15 PST: Libya- General Haftar’s Libyan National Army has taken control of Sirte including areas around Sirte and the Qardabiya Air Force Base.
08:00 PST: Mideast War- Iraq was brokering a reduction of tensions and a peace deal between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Soleimani’s visit was related to Saudi attempts at diplomacy to resolve the situation in Yemen and ease tensions with Iran, with Iraq acting as an intermediary. Soleimani was coming to Iraq to deliver the Iranian government’s reply when he was killed. According to Iraqi PM Adel Abdul-Mahdi Gen. Qassam Soleimani was part of the ongoing diplomatic efforts as his personal guest.
04:45 PST: Mideast War- German Chancellor Angela Merkel accompanied by Foreign Minister Heiko Maas will travel to Moscow next Saturday for talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin on the escalating tensions between the US and Iran.
01:00 PST: Mideast War- After wiping out the terrorists occupying southeast Idlib province the Syrian army is prepared to launch an operation to clear the countryside around Aleppo from the Nusrah Front [AKA al Qaeda]. Then after clearing the Aleppo region the final phase should be clearing southwest Idlib.
These operations could take several weeks and it is possible that Iran will exercise strategic patience in its plans to respond to the American attacks until Syria is ready. Meanwhile the US is planning a massive surge of troops and equipment to Europe and the Middle East beginning in February.
A major regional war seems inevitable but could still take weeks to begin. I expect that these matters were included in Trump’s attack calculations, nevertheless the best laid plans often go awry and things could break out sooner than expected.
05 Jan 11:00 PST: Mideast War- The aircraft carrier USS Bataan carrying an estimated 2,200 Marines aboard is now surging to the Middle East.
Mohsein Rezai one of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s closest advisers announced today that “revenge for the death of Al Qods chief Qassem Soleimani will include attacks on Israeli bases as well as Tel Aviv and Haifa.”
00:45 PST: Mideast War- Why did Trump choose NOW to launch serious aggression against Iran?
Iranian parliamentary elections are scheduled for Feb 21. The US senate resumes sitting this week and will soon have to deal with the impeachment trial, and of course he wants to present Americans with a major victory and if possible a Middle East peace deal by the November elections.
After the Trump administration began to attack militia chiefs in Iraq on Sabbath most of the Iraq Shiite militia chiefs and their senior staff have been moved to Iran and taken to IRG bases.
Trump threatens to attack 52 sites inside Iran.
Iraqi militias have warned the government to keep everyone at least one half mile away from all American facilities in Iraq as of 7 PM Sunday night.
04 Jan: A Blessed Sabbath for All God’s Faithful!
Mideast War- Pentagon officials confirm a fresh US air strike early Saturday that targeted the convoy of the leader of the Imam Ali Brigades, Shibl al-Zaidi, near US Camp Taji, just north of Baghdad.
3,000 American troops based in Italy are on standby with 700 in an advanced readiness for emergency deployment to Lebanon to secure or evacuate the US embassy in Beirut.
03 Jan 14:30 PST: Mideast War- The US has announced the deployment of 3,500 more troops in addition to the 4,000 announced last week. Further announcements on more deployments are expected as the US gears up for a full scale Middle East war.
Iran is likely to prepare very carefully and then respond through proxies, probably against American proxies like Israel. Watch Gaza and other Iranian proxies!
13:00 PST: Mideast War- Iran will now mourn for three days while deciding how to proceed.
01:00 PST: Breaking Urgent- Iranian Revolutionary Guards Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani and Iraqi militia commander Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, along with at least 10 other people, were killed in an attack by US forces in Baghdad on Friday morning Israel time, according to reports confirmed by the Pentagon and the Iranian Revolutionary Guards. In a statement, the Pentagon said that the US killed Soleimani and al-Muhandis in an airstrike inside Baghdad International Airport. Iran promises severe retribution.
Official sources in Tehran called the killings a “declaration of war.” After committing this clear act of war the US has ordered all of its citizens out of the region and Israel is preparing for a crushing military response by Iran or Iranian backed militias. US bases across the Middle East and Israel’s Defense Forces are on the highest level of security alert. Hezbollah, Hamas, Islamic Jihad and Syria have all condemned the killings and called for retribution.
While Israeli eyes are looking north a response could easily come via Gaza’s Islamic Jihad. Will Iran try to implement its strategy of tying down as many IDF soldiers as possible in Gaza and then striking from the north via Hezbollah?
02 Jan 09:00 PST: Israel- The High Court dismissed the petitions that sought to bar Binyamin Netanyahu from forming another government while under indictment. The court has ruled that there is no legal impediment to Netanyahu seeking re-election.
05:30 PST: Turkey’s parliament is convening to vote on whether to send Turkish troops to Libya to help the UN-supported government in Tripoli. Turkish lawmakers are expected to approve a motion at their emergency session for a one-year deployment despite strong opposition in Parliament. Gen Haftar is in Egypt where a decision to deploy Egyptian troops on his behalf to counter Turkey is under consideration.
Israel- A Knesset ruling on Netanyahu immunity will be delayed until after the next election.
01 Jan 11:00 PST: Israel- Netanyahu asks Knesset for immunity from criminal charges. The move postpones a trial until after the coming election when a new Knesset will be sworn in and rule on the request.
Yisrael Beytenu chief Avigdor Liberman says his party will oppose a request from Prime Minister Netanyahu for parliamentary immunity from corruption charges. “Now it is clear beyond doubt. The only thing that has interested and interests Netanyahu is immunity,” Liberman writes in a Facebook post shortly after the prime minister’s announcement.
Likud will have to win BIG in the March elections to gain enough seats to grant immunity and save Bibi from prison. If Likud is too low in the polls a desperate Netanyahu could provoke an incident and invade Gaza to delay the election in hopes that a victory on the battle field will save him from criminal convictions and removal to prison in disgrace.
07:00 PST: Mideast War- All demonstrators leave US embassy in Baghdad.
02:30 PST: Mideast War- 750 US troops arrive in Baghdad to defend the embassy as second day of demonstrations begins. More than 3,000 other troops will take up a stand by position in Kuwait. Trump threatens heavy retribution against Iranian backed militias in Iraq Syria.
Note that this situation was created by Trump when he used an attack by the Islamic Sate to justify his own attack on Iranian backed militias fighting the Islamic State.
Elijah J. Magnier @ejmalrai – 6:20 UTC · Dec 30, 2019
32 killed and 45 wounded the count of #US violent aggression on #Iraq security forces brigades 45 and 46 last night on a military position established to counter-attack and raid #ISIS remnant at al-Qaem, the borders between Iraq and Syria.
Rania Khalek @RaniaKhalek – 18:44 UTC · Dec 29, 2019
The PMF group that was hit by the Americans has been fighting ISIS for years. They were on the front lines protecting Iraq from ISIS in Syria and engaged in the ongoing battles with ISIS in the Syrian and Iraqi deserts. They were THE line of defense.
00:03 PST: Korea- The DPRK will resume weapons testing. Trump has been insisting that the DPRK agree to all US demands before any talks begin, which amounts to total surrender in advance. This declaration by Kim may be an attempt to nudge Trump into talks.
Mideast War- The 82nd Airborne 4,000 man Deployment Ready Brigade is being rushed to Kuwait. The USS Truman has replaced the Lincoln off Iran.
Syria- The Hay’at Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS, aka al Qaeda) militia occupying southeastern Idlib is in a state of collapse. Turkey has begun to send substantial forces from the Turkish-backed Syrian National Army militia to take over the area from the fleeing terrorists and is risking a confrontation with the advancing Syrian army.
Israel- The Israeli High Court Tuesday heard arguments but delayed a ruling on whether a person under criminal indictment like Netanyahu may be eligible to form a new government.
Bibi will now ask the Knesset to grant him immunity from prosecution for as long as he is in office. Since the Knesset has been dissolved and an interim government cannot decide on such a request, this request will delay any prosecution until a new government is formed and the Knesset can vote on the immunity request.
If war breaks out before the election the polling date could be postponed for weeks. Present polls indicate a virtual tie and replay of the last elections so Bibi could be hoping that a major unambiguous victory on the battlefield will propel him to victory in the polls with enough seats to form a government which can then vote him permanent immunity.
I would be very surprised if Bibi does not go to war before the elections, especially if Likud is sinking in the polls, but he may still find that votes will swing to the peace oriented parties, leaving him outside the new government and facing a prison term.
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